Signals track record
We measure every signal a fixed number of sessions after it appears, compare it with the market (S&P 500) over the same period, and show every result, with nothing left out.
What is this page?
- Every day after the US market closes, the system scans the large US companies we follow (such as Apple, Nvidia and Amgen) and records a “signal” when a specific technical pattern appears on a stock.
- After a fixed number of trading days (3, 5 or 10) we check: did the stock go up or down, and by how much? And we compare that with the whole market over the same days.
- This shows how stocks behaved after each type of signal in the past. It does not mean they will behave the same way in the future, and it is not a reason to buy.
- Tap “Show the signals” under any card to see the stocks, the dates and the result of each one.
48 measured signals · — to — · rules version v1
Return from the close on the signal day to the close 3 sessions later, before costs, compared with the S&P 500 over the same period.
Session
Session: one trading day on the US market.S&P 500
S&P 500: an index of the 500 largest US companies, used as the measure of the whole market.
- ConfirmedSignals: 1
Sample too small This pattern has appeared only once so far. We wait for at least 30 before computing any rate, because a result from a few cases can be luck.
- WatchSignals: 47
Of the 47 times the “Watch” pattern appeared, the stock was higher 3 sessions later 27 times (57.5%), with an average change of +0.56%. These stocks did better than the market by 1.93% on average.
Share of signals whose stock rose
The share of times the stock was higher at the end of the period than on the signal day.- 57.5%
Average stock return
The average change in the stock's price, in percent, over the period.- +0.56%
Median
Median: the number with half the results above it and half below, so one unusual result moves it less than the average.- +0.92%
Worst return
The largest fall recorded by a single stock over the period.- −6.96%
Vs S&P 500
The stock's change minus the S&P 500's change over the same days. A positive number means the stock did better than the market.- +1.93%
Past results do not guarantee future results. These are statistics on reference patterns, not advice.
For information only; not a recommendation to buy or sell any stock.